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CR Note: This is a repeat of a previous post with updated graphs.A few key points:1) There is a clear seasonal pattern for house prices.2) The surge in distressed sales during the housing bust distorted the seasonal pattern.3) Even though distressed...

Shutterstock photoThe Dow Jones Industrial Average looks to break an 8-day losing streak, the index's longest since 2011. Dow futures are down in today's pre-market, however, and 9 straight days to the negative would be the longest such streak in...

Here is the earlier post on Case-Shiller: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 5.9% year-over-year in JanuaryIt has been more than ten years since the bubble peak. In the Case-Shiller release this morning, the seasonally adjusted National...

MarketsIs there still a blow-off top in the making? (thereformedbroker.com)StrategyHow to evaluate 'true diversifiers.' (longboardfunds.com)Your asset allocation can be explicit or implicit: choose explicit. (fmdcapital.com)Fees matter. (peterlazaroff.com)How...

THIS STOCK COULD BE LIKE BUYING AMAZON IN 1997!  So reads the ad disguised as a headline on Yahoo Finance.  Here’s the thing: you don’t want to buy the next Amazon. Clicking on the ad takes you to a wall of text.  The performance is...

Shutterstock photoIn general, stocks react logically to news. Sure, there are times when market positioning results in a “buy the rumor, sell the fact” effect immediately following a news release, but usually changing conditions and circumstances...

From the Richmond Fed: Manufacturing Firms Upbeat in March with Shipments, New Orders, and Employment Indexes RisingManufacturers in the Fifth District were generally upbeat in March, according to the latest survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of...

Historical dataWhy the US stock market is an exception to the rule. (blog.alphaarchitect.com)What do four centuries of return data tell us about stock predictability? (papers.ssrn.com)The profitability premium exists in earlier data (i.e. 1940-63)....

S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for January ("January" is a 3 month average of November, December and January prices).This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20...

Shutterstock photoMarket Drivers  March 28, 2017FX treads waterAussie weakens to 7600Nikkei 1.14% Dax 0.61%Oil $48/bblGold $1252/oz.Europe and Asia:No DataNorth America:USD Trade Goods 8:30USD Consumer Confidence 10:00After yesterday's sharp risk-off...